The Buffalo Bills have already clinched the AFC East title, and bettors believe they will kick the longtime division bullies while they’re down on Monday night.
The Bills (11-3) are 7-point favorites at New England, and Buffalo is being backed by 90 percent of the spread line bets and 91 percent of the moneyline (-315) bets Football Betting Odds & Lines: NFL – Game | DraftKings Sportsbook. The story is similar at BetRivers, where Buffalo is being backed by 88 percent of the spread handle and 92 percent of the moneyline handle..
The Bills cannot earn a first-round bye, with the lone one in the AFC already clinched by the Kansas City Chiefs, but Buffalo is still in the hunt for the No. 2 seed with the Pittsburgh Steelers (12-3). Meanwhile, New England (6-8) has been eliminated from playoff contention for the first time since 2008 and has lost consecutive games.
Buffalo beat New England 24-21 at home in Week 8 despite quarterback Josh Allen throwing for just 154 yards and an interception.
Bills crushing it ATS
The Bills have covered the spread in each of their past six games, while the Patriots are 2-3 ATS in their past five games.
Both sportsbooks have set the over/under at 46.5 points, with bettors backing the over with 69 percent of the handle at BetRivers and 56 percent of the handle at DraftKings. New England has not hit the over in six consecutive games, while Buffalo has hit the over in three of its past five.
The Bills are seeking to sweep the Patriots for the first time in 21 years after dethroning the Patriots from the top of the AFC East after 11 consecutive division titles.
Buffalo’s offense on a roll
Buffalo boasts the NFL’s second-ranked passing offense (278.5 yards per game) and fifth-ranked scoring offense (29.1 points).
Bills wide receiver Stefon Diggs’ 111 receptions lead the NFL and he already has a career-high 1,314 receiving yards.
Although Buffalo enters Monday’s contest with momentum, coach Sean McDermott was quick to pump the brakes should his team entertain the notion of looking past the Patriots.
“It’s the defending AFC East champs that have held that position for multiple, multiple, multiple years,” McDermott said. “It’s one of the greatest — if not the greatest — coach ever to coach our game. They’re going to be prepared, they’re going to be well-coached, and they’ll be ready to go.”
–Field Level Media (@FieldLevelMedia)