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Jan 16, 2026 12:05 pm

NFL Divisional Playoff Capules

Smith-Njigba
Photo by: Sergio Estrada-Imagn Images

AFC Divisional Playoff Capsules

Buffalo Bills (13-5) at Denver Broncos (14-3)
Saturday, 4:30 p.m. ET, CBS
Empower Field, Denver
FanDuel Odds: Broncos -1.5, Total 46.5
Postseason History: This is the third playoff meeting. Buffalo leads the Broncos 2-0 and defeated Denver in the 2024 wild-card round, 31-7.

The Broncos are the No. 1 seed in the AFC for the first time since 2015, the same season in which they last hosted a playoff game — the 2015 AFC Championship Game — when Denver beat the Patriots and went on to win Super Bowl 50 at the site of this year’s game, Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara. The Bills advanced by winning their first road playoff game since 1992, outlasting Jacksonville last week, to set up a rematch of the 2024 Wild Card round last season in Buffalo. The Bills also beat the Broncos in the 1991 AFC Championship game to reach Super Bowl XXVI.

Broncos QB Bo Nix was limited to 144 passing yards at Buffalo last season and is making his second playoff start. This is No. 15 for Bills QB Josh Allen, who has 36 total touchdowns in the postseason.

Bills Pro Bowl RB James Cook had 1,912 yards from scrimmage and powers the Buffalo rushing attack.

Denver’s defense presents another challenge for Allen, who was battered and bruised in Jacksonville last week. The Broncos led the NFL in sacks (68) and were No. 2 in total defense (278.2 yards per game allowed) and rushing defense (91.1 yards per game allowed) and ranked third in scoring defense (18.3 points per game against) and passes defensed (94).

The Bills are first in the NFL in rushing and Allen has the most rushing yards (701) and second-most rushing touchdowns (nine) by a quarterback in NFL postseason history. He averages 309.5 combined passing and rushing yards per playoff game, the highest in NFL history among quarterbacks with at least 10 playoff starts.

Houston Texans (13-5) at New England Patriots (15-3)
Sunday, 3 p.m. ET, ESPN/ABC
Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, Mass.
FanDuel Odds: Patriots -3, Total 40.5
Postseason History: The Patriots are undefeated in their last eight divisional playoff games, the longest streak in NFL history. They defeated Houston in their only postseason meetings (2012 and 2016 divisional playoffs, both in New England).

New England advanced to the divisional playoff with its first victory in the postseason since Super Bowl LIII (Feb. 3, 2019) with a dominant performance against the Chargers last week. Houston earned a road playoff win for the first time in franchise history with a 30-6 win at Pittsburgh to reach the divisional playoff round for the third season in a row. Houston has never played in the AFC Championship game.

Patriots QB Drake Maye has come a long way since he made his first NFL start in a 41-21 loss to the Texans in Week 6 last season. Maye and counterpart C.J. Stroud both threw three touchdown passes in that meeting.

Maye led the NFL in passer rating and one of his primary targets is Stefon Diggs, who spent last season with the Texans before a season-ending knee injury.

Houston’s pass rush gave the Steelers fits last week. Danielle Hunter was third in the NFL with 15 sacks and had a sack and forced fumble against Aaron Rodgers last week in the wild-card round. Sidekick Will Anderson is no slouch on the other side. He had 12 sacks in the regular season and forced a fumble last week. They fit together well with a big, intense secondary featuring the cornerback tandem of Kamari Lassiter (17 passes defensed in 2025) and Derek Stingley Jr. (15).

Stroud’s showing against the Steelers was forgettable. He had two fumbles and an interception at Pittsburgh and No. 1 wide receiver Nico Collins (concussion) could miss Sunday’s game. Christian Kirk stepped up last week with 144 yards and a touchdown.

The Patriots are optimistic their top cover man, Christian Gonzalez, will be able to play after returning from a concussion.

–NFC Divisional playoff capsules

San Francisco (13-5) at Seattle Seahawks (14-3)
Saturday, 8 p.m. ET, FOX
Lumen Field, Seattle
FanDuel Odds: Seahawks -7, Total 44.5
Playoff History: Three of the four remaining NFC teams are from the West division. The Rams play at Chicago on Sunday night. The previous postseason game between the 49ers and Seahawks went to San Francisco, 41-23 in January 2023.

The Seahawks captured the No. 1 seed for the first time since 2014 and are on a mission to win their first playoff game since beating the Eagles in the wild-card round in 2019. The 49ers advanced by winning their first road playoff game in four years at Philadelphia, 23-19.

There is consternation in Seattle over the oblique strain suffered by QB Sam Darnold this week. He plans to play, and coach Mike Macdonald doesn’t expect the injury to limit the offense. With the 49ers down several key defensive players, San Francisco has had to blitz to create pressure on the passer. When Darnold has time, he is making a living putting the ball in the hands of WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba. He led the NFL with a franchise-record 1,793 receiving yards.

Darnold has only one playoff start — last season with the Vikings — when he was sacked nine times by the Rams in a 27-9 loss.

49ers RB Christian McCaffrey remains the engine of the San Francisco offense. He has at least 100 yards from scrimmage in seven of his eight career postseason games. That includes 114 last week, when he had 66 yards receiving and caught two touchdown passes. He was second in the NFL in 2025 with 2,126 yards from scrimmage and scored 17 touchdowns.

QB Brock Purdy, 5-2 in his playoff career, has worked with a shuffled deck of receivers most of the season due to injuries. He won’t have key outlet George Kittle, who suffered a torn Achilles at Philadelphia last week.

The 49ers already own a win on this field this season, Week 1 of the regular season, 17-13. The Seahawks returned the favor in Week 18 at San Francisco (13-3) to clinch the division title and the No. 1 seed in the NFC.

Only the Chiefs have equaled the 49ers’ run of success in this round. San Francisco has won seven consecutive divisional playoff games (2012-24) and would become the first NFL franchise to reach 20 Championship games with a win. It would be their fourth NFC Championship game in five seasons. Seattle has played in four previous conference championship games (one in the AFC).

Los Angeles Rams (13-5) at Chicago Bears (12-6)
Sunday, 6:30 p.m. ET, NBC/Peacock
Soldier Field, Chicago
FanDuel Odds: Rams -3.5, Total 48.5
Playoff History: This is the 40th anniversary of the Bears last Super Bowl (XX) victory. They defeated the Rams in the NFC Championship, 24-0, that year to advance to that game. Los Angeles defeated Chicago, 24-14, in the 1950 Divisional playoffs (Dec. 17, 1950).

Pack the handwarmers, it’s Bear weather this weekend in Chicago.

Rams head coach Sean McVay is downplaying the windchill factor reading at or below zero and the Los Angeles defense is more worried about the Iceman than the weatherman.

Caleb Williams, given the “Iceman” moniker for his fourth-quarter performances this season, helped the Bears overcame an 18-point deficit – the largest comeback in franchise postseason history – and Chicago scored 25 fourth-quarter points — third-most ever in a playoff game – to defeat the Packers, 31-27, last week. It was the first postseason win since the 2010 NFC divisional round against Seattle.

The Rams handled the Panthers, 34-31, in Charlotte to set up the first playoff meeting with the Bears in 40 years.

While Williams has been clutch, the performance of Rams QB Matt Stafford has been constant. He led the NFL in passing yards and touchdown passes. Including the playoffs, he’s over 5,000 passing yards and his next TD pass will be No. 50 on the year.

He has a cadre of capable weapons, and a trio of players with 13 or more touchdowns counting Puka Nacua’s pair of scores last week (13 total this season). RB Kyren Williams (13) and WR Davante Adams (14) give the Chicago defense a number of threats atop the scouting report. Stafford threw eight interceptions in the regular season. The Bears led the NFL with 23 interceptions — seven by S Kevin Byard III — and 33 total takeaways.

Williams and rookie TE Colston Loveland have become a dynamic duo in the passing game. Loveland led the Bears in receptions, yards and tied D.J. Moore and Rome Odunze with six TD catches in the regular season. He had eight receptions for 137 yards against the Packers last week.

–Field Level Media

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