Ohio State’s CFP title odds vs. Alabama continue to lengthen

The country’s only two undefeated teams will square off for the national championship, but the oddsmakers have a clear favorite.

No. 1 Alabama (12-0) opened as a touchdown favorite over No. 3 Ohio State (7-0) for their Jan. 11 matchup in the College Football Playoff final at Miami Gardens, Fla.



As of late Friday night, the Crimson Tide were favored by seven points at both DraftKings and SportsBetting.com and by 7 1/2 points at FanDuel. Alabama had moved to 8-point favorites at DraftKings and 8.5-point favorites at FanDuel by Saturday afternoon.

The over-under total for the matchup was 75.5 at SportsBetting.com, 76 at DraftKings, 76.5 at FanDuel.

Alex Leatherwood
Gary Cosby-USA TODAY Sports

The seven-point spread would be the highest ever for a CFP final in the seven years the current playoff system has been in place. Three previous finals closed with 6.5-point spreads, per VegasInsider.com.

According to SportsBetting.com, the over-under total is the second-largest for a CFP game. Only the 2018-19 semifinal at the Orange Bowl had a higher total, 80.5 points. The under was a winner in that game, barely, as Alabama beat Oklahoma 45-34.

Top 10 Biggest CFP Spreads

  • 2020/21 Rose Bowl: Alabama (-19) vs. Notre Dame
  • 2018/19 Orange Bowl: Alabama (-14.5) vs. Oklahoma
  • 2019/20 Peach Bowl: LSU (-12.5) vs. Oklahoma
  • 2016/17 Peach Bowl: Alabama (-12.5) vs. Washington
  • 2018/19 Cotton Bowl: Clemson (-10.5) vs. Notre Dame
  • 2015/16 Cotton Bowl: Alabama (-10) vs. Michigan State
  • 2014/15 Sugar Bowl: Alabama (-7.5) vs. Ohio State
  • 2014/15 Rose Bowl: Oregon (-7.5) vs. Florida State
  • 2020/21 Sugar Bowl: Clemson (-7) vs. Ohio State
  • 2020/21 CFP Championship: Alabama (-7) vs. Ohio State

Only once has a CFP underdog of seven points or more pulled off the upset, per SportsBetting.com. Ohio State will attempt to duplicate its feat from the 2014-15 semifinal at the Sugar Bowl, when it entered a 7.5-point underdog but beat Alabama 42-35.



On Friday, the Crimson Tide cruised past No. 4 Notre Dame 31-14 in the first semifinal, the Rose Bowl held at Arlington, Texas. Alabama quarterback Mac Jones threw for 297 yards and four touchdowns, three of the scores going to DeVonta Smith.

In the nightcap, the Buckeyes blasted No. 2 Clemson 49-28 behind 385 passing yards and six TD tosses from Justin Fields. Chris Olave accounted for 132 yards and two touchdowns on six receptions.

Jeremy Ruckert, Nicholas Petit-Frere, Jameson Williams

Alabama will be aiming for its third championship in the seven years since the CFP was instituted, having won the title in 2015-16 and 2017-18. Last season, the Crimson Tide failed to make the semifinals for the first time.

Ohio State, a losing semifinalist last season and in 2016-17, is in the final for the first time since 2014-15, when it beat Oregon for the championship.

Top 10 Highest CFP Over/Unders

  • 2018/19 Orange Bowl: Alabama vs. Oregon (80.5)
  • 2019/20 Peach Bowl: LSU vs. Oklahoma (75)
  • 2014/15 Rose Bowl: Oregon vs. Florida State (74)
  • 2014/15 CFP NCG: Oregon vs. Ohio State (72.5)
  • 2020/21 Rose Bowl: Alabama vs. Notre Dame (65.5)
  • 2020/21 Sugar Bowl: Clemson vs. Ohio State (65)
  • 2019/20 Fiesta Bowl: Clemson vs. Ohio State (63.5)
  • 2017/18 Rose Bowl: Oklahoma vs. Georgia (62.5)
  • 2015/16 Orange Bowl: Clemson vs. Oklahoma (61.5)
  • 2014/15 Sugar Bowl: Alabama vs. Ohio State (58)

–Field Level Media (@FieldLevelMedia)