Tiger 400/1 to win BMW Championship

Tiger Woods needs an outstanding weekend just to advance to the Tour Championship next week and defend his title at East Lake in Atlanta.

Rally for a victory at the BMW Championship? Highly unlikely after a pair of late bogeys dropped Woods to 2-under for the tournament and a full 10 shots behind leader Hideki Matsuyama.

Tiger Woods
Brian Spurlock-USA TODAY Sports

PointsBet is now offering 400/1 odds on Woods winning this week, which is significantly higher than Dustin Johnson’s 250/1 odds despite being tied for 48th place with Woods. FanDuel is offering even better odds on Woods at 420/1.

Woods said he thinks it will take “something in the mid-60s” to give himself an opportunity to compete with the top 30 players in the FedEx Cup standings next week. He’s currently projected to drop seven spots to No. 45, and needs to finish 11th or higher to play in the Tour Championship.

Woods fans can place more reasonable bets on him rallying for a quality finish, with FanDuel offering 100/1 odds on a top 5, 26/1 on a top 10 and 6.5/1 on a top 20. DraftKings is offering 80/1 on a top 5 finish for Woods and 20/1 on a top 20.

There is no cut in the 69-player event.

Matsuyama (+500) may be leading the tournament by one shot at the halfway point, but Patrick Cantlay is the betting favorite by PointsBet at +475, while FanDuel lists them as +500 co-favorites.

Cantlay is tied for second place with Tony Finau (+700 by both sportsbooks), who is seeking his first career PGA Tour victory. That’s the rational behind Justin Thomas (+550) sporting lower odds despite sitting in solo fourth place.

Northern Ireland’s Rory McIlroy is +900 by both books as he sits in a tied for 11th at 8 under entering the weekend.

Winning Odds (PointsBet):
Patrick Cantlay (Joe Maiorana-USA TODAY Sports)

Patrick Cantlay: +475
Hideki Matsuyama: +500
Justin Thomas: +550
Tony Finau: +700
Rory Mcilroy: +900
Xander Schauffele: +1200
Jon Rahm: +2000
Tommy Fleetwood: +2500
Rory Sabbatini: +3300
Lucas Glover: +3300
Chez Reavie: +3300
Brooks Koepka: +3300
Rickie Fowler: +4000
Adam Hadwin: +4000
Corey Conners: +4000
Adam Scott: +5000
Kevin Kisner: +5000
Brandt Snedeker: +6600
Kevin Tway: +10000
Si Woo Kim: +10000
Jason Kokrak: +12500

Patrick Reed
Patrick Reed. (Mark Konezny-USA TODAY Sports)

Patrick Reed: +12500
Louis Oosthuizen: +15000
Max Homa: +15000
Joel Dahmen: +15000
Jim Furyk: +20000
Paul Casey: +20000
Cheng-Tsung Pan: +25000
Justin Rose: +25000
Dustin Johnson: +25000
Abraham Ancer: +25000
Collin Morikawa: +25000
Cameron Champ: +25000
Joaquin Niemann: +25000
Ryan Moore: +30000
Ian Poulter: +30000
Charles Howell III: +30000
Jordan Spieth: +30000
Jason Day: +35000
Andrew D. Putnam: +35000
Ryan Palmer: +40000
J.B. Holmes: +40000
Tiger Woods: +40000
Rafael Cabrera Bello: +40000
Matt Kuchar: +40000
Webb Simpson: +40000
Scott Piercy: +40000
Byeong-Hun An: +40000
Francesco Molinari: +50000
Vaughn Taylor: +50000
Graeme McDowell: +50000
Phil Mickelson: +50000
Marc Leishman: +50000
Gary Woodland: +50000
Dylan Frittelli: +50000
Sung Kang: +50000
Shane Lowry: +50000
Billy Horschel: +50000
Keegan Bradley: +50000
Adam Long: +50000
Emiliano Grillo: +50000
Nate Lashley: +50000
Keith Mitchell: +50000
Im-Sung Jae: +50000
Bryson DeChambeau: +50000
JT Poston: +50000
Troy Merritt: +50000
Harold Varner III: +50000
Wyndham Clark: +50000

–Field Level Media (@FieldLevelMedia)

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