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Jun 16, 2021 2:41 pm

U.S. Open Odds: Jon Rahm favored; bettors back Phil Mickelson

Jon Rahm

The 2021 U.S. Open will be played at Torrey Pines’ South Course for the second time. The 156-player field will tee it up in San Diego beginning Thursday.

The last time Torrey Pines hosted the U.S. Open, Tiger Woods won in a 19-hole Monday playoff over Rocco Mediate in 2008. One of the most famous finishes in major tournament history, Woods later revealed he had played the tournament with a broken leg and torn ACL.



Woods would not win another major until the 2019 Masters.

Tournament notes, betting odds and best bets:

U.S. OPEN

Bryson DeChambeau
Danielle Parhizkaran-USA TODAY Sports

HOW TO WATCH

  • Thursday, 10:45 a.m.-3:30 p.m. ET (Peacock), 1:30-8 p.m. (Golf Channel), 8-11 p.m. (NBC), 11-12 p.m. (Peacock)
  • Friday, 10:45 a.m.-1:30 p.m. (Peacock), 1:30-7 p.m. (Golf Channel), 7-10 p.m. (NBC), 10-11 p.m. (Golf Channel), 11-12 p.m. (Peacock)
  • Saturday-Sunday, 12-10 p.m. (NBC)
  • Sunday 1-9 p.m. (NBC)

BEST BETS

  • Jon Rahm (+1050 at DraftKings) has been medically cleared after withdrawing from the Memorial with a six-shot lead due to a positive COVID-19 test. His most recent victory came at the BMW Championship in August and he seeks his first career major title. He finished second at the 2020 Farmers and T7 this year, helping prompt the public to back him with seven percent of the winner handle and six percent of the total bets at DraftKings.
  • DeChambeau (+1500) is attempting to successfully defend his U.S. Open title. The last person to do so was rival Brooks Koepka (+1900) in 2017-18. Koepka finished T2 at the PGA Championship before missing the cut last week. He is the most popular bet at DraftKings, backed by 10 percent of the handle and seven percent of the bets.
Brooks Koepka
Thomas Shea-USA TODAY Sports
  • Dustin Johnson (+1500) is coming off his first top-10 since February, although he faded from contention on the back nine last Sunday. With slightly shorter odds at +1400 by BetRivers, Johnson is not among the top five most backed golfers in total bets and is outside the top 10 in handle at the sportsbook.
  • Xander Schauffele (+1500) is another San Diego resident with intimate knowledge of Torrey Pines, where he finished T2 earlier this year. He hasn’t won since 2019 but has six top-fives in 16 career majors, including a T3 at this year’s Masters and a T5 at last year’s U.S. Open. At +1400 at BetRivers, Schauffele has been backed by nine percent of the winner handle, up from five percent last week.
  • Rory McIlroy (+2100) snapped his winless drought at the Wells Fargo and has a T16 and a T3 at the Farmers the past two years. He is not among the top five most popular bets in either market at either sportsbook.



Patrick Cantlay (+2200) won his last start at the Memorial after Rahm’s WD and is seeking his first career major title.

Patrick Reed (+2500) won the Farmers Insurance Open earlier this year and is attempting to join Ben Hogan, Jack Nicklaus and Tiger Woods as the only players to win a PGA Tour event and the U.S. Open on the same course in the same year. He also finished T6 in the 2020 Farmers.

Viktor Hovland (+2500) is one of several rising stars seeking their first career major titles. He finished T2 at this years Farmers to kick off a streak of four consecutive top-six finishes. He also had consecutive T3s at the Valspar Championship and Wells Fargo Championship.

Viktor Hovland
Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports

Collin Morikawa (+2800) already has a PGA Championship under his belt. He finished T18 at the Masters and T8 at the PGA Championship this year and is coming off a solo second at the Memorial, where he lost in a playoff to Cantlay. The world’s fourth-ranked player is the fifth-most popular bet at DraftKings, where he is being backed by five percent of the winner handle and four percent of the total bets.

Phil Mickelson (+600) is a San Diego native and three-time winner of the Farmers Insurance Open at Torrey Pines. Mickelson, who turns 51 on Wednesday, became the oldest major winner in history at last month’s PGA Championship. A six-time U.S. Open runner-up, Mickelson is attempting to become the sixth player to complete the career Grand Slam. He is the biggest liability at multiple sportsbooks, with BetRivers reporting he has been backed by more of the winner handle (10.1 percent) and total bets (6.1 percent) than any other golfer in the field and is a liability “well into the six-figure range).”

Phil Mickelson
Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

PROP BET NOTES

    • Sportsbooks are taking advantage of the heated rivalry between DeChambeau and Koepka. While they won’t be paired together for at least the first two rounds, sportsbooks including BetRivers are offering a matchup bet. Koepka at +105 is being backed by 89 percent of the handle and 95 percent of the bets to finish ahead of DeChambeau (-135).
    • Another popular bet at the book has been Tommy Fleetwood at +8000 to be the leader after the first round, with 14 percent of the bets backing him and another 11 percent backing Tony Finau at +3300.
    • Justin Rose (+5000) has drawn the most first-round leader action at DraftKings, where he is being backed by six percent of the handle and four percent of the total bets.
    • The largest current wager at BetRivers is a $3,900 bet on Justin Thomas to win at +2200 that would pay out $89,700 if Thomas is able to claim his second major title this week.
Justin Thomas
Rob Schumacher/The Arizona Republic-USA TODAY Sports

EVENT NOTES

  • If players are tied for the lead after 72 holes, a two-hole aggregate playoff will be played followed by sudden death until a champion is determined.
  • Originally designed by William F. Bell in 1957, the South Course underwent renovations overseen by Rees Jones in 2001 and 2019.
  • Cole Hammer is one of seven amateurs in the field. He also played in the 2015 U.S. Open at Chambers Bay when he was 15 years old.
  • Two sets of brothers made the field: Alvaro and Carlos Ortiz and Edoardo and Francesco Molinari.




–Field Level Media (@FieldLevelMedia)

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